torsdag 9. september 2010

Wednesday 8th of September

Good day.
Quite slow day Wednesday as the S&P recovered from the weakness seen in Asia and opened at 1092 trading up to high of 1103. Remember we have that falling resistance from the April highs coming in that 1102 area and it was not really able to break clean above this level. Still have the gap at 1108.25 from 11th of August to be filled and the 1054.525 gap from 31st of August as well to be filled.
Seems to be more and more people calling for a move lower based seasonals that market is normally weak in September and October. However I am not so sure, I see this week's price action and the reaction around this 1100 to 1110 areas as key. Although the key upside level to break for the bulls is 1126.50, I reckon that if 1110 gives way it could be testing 1126.50 rather quickly. On the downside I see 1080 as key support and a daily close below this level opens for a move lower again and that 1037 level is of course key support level.

As for the trading, Wednesday I made 2 points on the futueres net, trading long and short, still a bit reluctant to chase it above 1100 as that key resistance zone has contained the upside well so far.
The only change I made to the options was to sell 1120 calls for October for 16.25 points and selling 1080 put for September for 8.50 points. I did close the 1050 puts for a nice profit, was kind of a roll to the 1080 puts to get a bit more premium in and leaving more gap between the 1070 to the 1040 puts in case we have a move lower. Still have most exposure to the upside above 1100 basically with calls at 1110 and 1120. Will look to make adjustments when we move out of the 1090 to 1105 range.

Have a nice day 



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