torsdag 16. september 2010

Wednesday 15th of September

The S&P futures failed to break Tuesday's high of 1122.50, but still managed to close in the upper end of the daily range. Could we be looking at a similar top that we had in August, when it topped out around the same level over a few days and dropped sharply lower within the next few days.
We now have 2 days left of the expiration week and we normally have one wide down day during the expiration week, so with failure at 1122 again Wednesday, it might be Thursday the down day comes in?

S&P futures have topped out in this 1122's level both in June and August previously.
http://chart.ly/wimh2uk
So we either top out again or break higher within the next few days I reckon.
Expect a strong move in either direction basically.
We still have the gap down at 1105.75 from Friday to be filled and the 31st of August that is some way off at the moment.
Trading wise I made net +3 points on the S&P futures, was not long enough towards the top end of the range and was looking for the gap down at 1105.75 to be filled early on, which had me a bit late to get long when it found support at 1109. Still expect the 1125 level to hold on the upside and a test lower towards at least 1105.75 before it breaks higher.

I sold some more 1110 September puts in the start of the session and them out when prices test 1120 towards the end of the session and moved the short October 1090 calls to a 1130 (got 19 points for the 1130) calls to get the strike above the 1125 key resistance. I also closed out the 1040 October puts from last week (made about 10 points on it) and sold 1090 October puts instead to collect more premium, then I now have nothing below 1060, so plenty of room to sell put below or towards the 1037 key support in case it breaks lower. The short puts at 1130 that I have a hedges with expiration on Friday was reduced and only have a tine position left in those puts.
That is all for today, good luck and take care

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